Hurricane Prediction Markets for Economic Analysts
Resolved Markets provides economic analysts with real-time prediction market data that captures market sentiment on critical macroeconomic events. Our platform tracks FOMC decision markets, jobs reports, CPI releases, and other key economic indicators through continuous orderbook snapshots from Polymarket. With 11.4M+ historical snapshots and a 20Hz capture rate, you gain millisecond-precision insights into how traders price economic outcomes before official releases. The API delivers full bid/ask depth arrays with timestamps, enabling you to analyze market expectations, volatility patterns, and consensus shifts across multiple timeframes. Economic analysts leverage this data to validate forecasting models, identify market inefficiencies, and understand real-time sentiment on monetary policy, employment, and inflation dynamics.
Economic analysts use Hurricane Prediction Markets to track macro consensus in real time. Resolved Markets captures 30-city temperature, hurricane, and Arctic ice markets with daily prediction-market capture across 30 weather cities, exposing implied probabilities on city temperature ranges, hurricane probabilities, Arctic ice limits that move faster than traditional surveys.
Data challenges Economic Analysts run into
Hurricane Prediction Markets from Resolved Markets is built around the data gaps Economic Analysts hit when they try to work with raw Polymarket feeds.
Delayed access to market sentiment on economic events
Traditional economic forecasting relies on surveys and historical data that lag actual market behavior. Resolved Markets solves this by providing real-time orderbook snapshots that reflect trader expectations milliseconds after new information emerges. Instead of waiting for official releases, you access continuous market data that shows how pricing evolves throughout FOMC decision periods, jobs report windows, and CPI announcement cycles. This enables faster validation of economic hypotheses and earlier detection of consensus shifts.
Inability to capture orderbook dynamics before major releases
Orderbook depth changes reveal crucial information about market confidence and disagreement. When bid/ask spreads widen during uncertain periods, it signals lower consensus; when they narrow, it indicates stronger agreement. Resolved Markets captures these dynamics at 20Hz for crypto markets and across all economic prediction markets on Polymarket, giving you the precision needed for volatility analysis and sentiment quantification that traditional data sources cannot provide.
Fragmented data across multiple market sources
Economic data comes fragmented across government databases, financial terminals, and survey platforms. Unified access to Polymarket's prediction markets through a single API eliminates this fragmentation. All economic markets—FOMC decisions, employment figures, inflation indicators, and GDP forecasts—are accessible through consistent endpoints with standardized timestamps and depth arrays, simplifying integration into analytical workflows.
Lack of granular timing data for econometric modeling
Economic models require precise timing data to correlate market movements with information arrival. Resolved Markets provides millisecond-level timestamps for every orderbook snapshot, enabling you to construct event study windows with sub-second accuracy. This granularity supports advanced econometric techniques like high-frequency impulse response analysis and precise volatility clustering studies that rely on exact timing correlation.
Built for quantitative work on Hurricane Prediction Markets
Orderbook-level prediction-market data that doesn't exist anywhere else.
Access real-time market expectations on major economic events
Prediction markets aggregate dispersed knowledge from thousands of traders with real monetary incentives. Resolved Markets gives you direct access to this collective intelligence through continuous orderbook snapshots on FOMC decisions, jobs reports, and economic releases. Track how market expectations evolve from weeks before an event through the release window, capturing the full spectrum of sentiment changes. This real-time view of market-implied probabilities outperforms traditional surveys and historical averages.
Build superior forecasting models with prediction market data
Econometric models improve significantly when trained on actual market expectations rather than lagged official statistics. By incorporating orderbook data from Resolved Markets into your forecasting framework, you add a forward-looking component that captures trader expectations and market-implied outcomes. The combination of historical snapshots (11.4M+ available) with real-time WebSocket streams enables you to build predictive models that adapt to changing market consensus.
Quantify market uncertainty through bid/ask spread analysis
Uncertainty quantification is crucial for policy analysis and investment decisions. Resolved Markets' bid/ask spread data directly measures market disagreement—wider spreads indicate higher uncertainty about outcomes. By analyzing spread dynamics across FOMC decision markets, employment markets, and inflation markets simultaneously, you gain a nuanced picture of which economic dimensions are generating the most trader uncertainty and confusion.
Integrate economic sentiment into algorithmic workflows
Modern analytical workflows demand seamless data integration. Resolved Markets' API with millisecond timestamps and depth arrays integrates directly into Python, JavaScript, and specialized econometric platforms. Build automated pipelines that continuously ingest economic market data, run backtests against historical snapshots, and deploy live sentiment indicators that feed into quantitative models and dashboards.
How Economic Analysts use Hurricane Prediction Markets
Seven categories, hundreds of markets
Prediction markets across crypto, sports, economics, weather, and more — live and historical orderbook data, all queryable through one API.
Crypto
BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP — up/down markets every 5m to 1d.
Equities
S&P 500 (SPX) daily open — up or down predictions.
Social
Elon Musk tweet counts — weekly prediction ranges.
Sports
NBA, NFL, EPL — game outcomes and season predictions.
Economics
Fed decisions, jobs reports — FOMC meetings and macro data.
Weather
44 cities daily — temperature, hurricanes, Arctic ice.
Hyperliquid
BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP perp orderbooks — 1/sec sampling.
Tick-level orderbook snapshots
Every snapshot includes full bid/ask depth, mid prices, spreads, and crypto spot price.
| Side | Bid | Size | Ask | Size | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UP | 0.5400 | 1,240 | 0.5500 | 1,100 | 1.00% |
| UP | 0.5300 | 980 | 0.5600 | 1,450 | 3.00% |
| UP | 0.5200 | 1,560 | 0.5700 | 890 | 5.00% |
| UP | 0.5100 | 2,100 | 0.5800 | 2,300 | 7.00% |
| UP | 0.5000 | 1,800 | 0.5900 | 1,700 | 9.00% |
| UP | 0.4900 | 3,200 | 0.6000 | 3,100 | 11.00% |
cryptoLowCardinality(String)BTCtimeframeLowCardinality(String)5mtoken_sideEnum8('UP','DOWN')UPtimestampDateTime64(3)2026-05-09 03:14:12.061crypto_priceFloat64$80,471.01best_bidFloat640.5400best_askFloat640.5500mid_priceFloat640.5450spreadFloat640.0100bidsArray(Tuple(F64,F64))[(0.54,1240),...]asksArray(Tuple(F64,F64))[(0.55,1100),...]Comprehensive market coverage
Prediction markets across multiple categories, captured continuously with high-frequency precision.
Hurricane Prediction Markets ships with
What Economic Analysts build with Hurricane Prediction Markets
Up and running in minutes
Three steps from signup to live Hurricane Prediction Markets in your application.
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Sign Up FreeExplore the API
Browse 11 endpoints with live examples. Test requests directly from the docs.
API ReferenceStart Building
Integrate live Hurricane Prediction Markets into your research pipeline, trading bot, or analytics platform.
fetch('/v1/markets/live', { headers: { 'X-API-Key': key } })
curl -H 'X-API-Key: rm_xxx' 'https://api.resolvedmarkets.com/v1/markets/live' | jq '.[] | select(.category=="economics")'rm-api download --category economics --days 90Wiring Hurricane Prediction Markets into your workflow
Economists pull Hurricane Prediction Markets via REST for ad-hoc queries, WebSocket for live macro events, and the CLI for bulk historical studies. Every channel ships the same continuous Polymarket capture.
- Direct integration with WeatherSource and Speedwell for ground-truth comparison
- QGIS plugin for spatial weather risk mapping
Why Economic Analysts pick Hurricane Prediction Markets
- Real-time market expectations on FOMC decisions, jobs reports, and inflation with millisecond precision captured from Polymarket
- 11.4M+ historical orderbook snapshots enabling econometric modeling and event study analysis with sub-second timing accuracy
- Unified API access to all economic prediction markets across crypto, macro, and employment categories with full bid/ask depth
- No credit card required free tier for research and analysis with WebSocket streaming and ClickHouse-backed historical data
Why Hurricane Prediction Markets matters
Hurricane Prediction Markets matters for economic analysis because surveys are slow and Hurricane Prediction Markets is fast. daily prediction-market capture across 30 weather cities on city temperature ranges, hurricane probabilities, Arctic ice limits reveals consensus shifts before they appear in any traditional indicator.
Hurricane Prediction Markets in context
Macro analysts increasingly treat prediction markets as a leading indicator. Hurricane Prediction Markets from Resolved Markets makes that signal structured and queryable, with daily prediction-market capture across 30 weather cities on city temperature ranges, hurricane probabilities, Arctic ice limits.
Frequently asked: Hurricane Prediction Markets for Economic Analysts
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How does Resolved Markets orderbook data improve economic forecasting compared to traditional surveys?
Resolved Markets captures real money predictions from thousands of traders with direct financial incentives, updated continuously at millisecond intervals. Unlike surveys that sample opinions periodically, the orderbook data shows actual market-implied probabilities and how they shift throughout event windows. Our FOMC decision markets and jobs report markets reflect live trader expectations, not lagged historical trends. This real-time, incentive-aligned data improves forecast accuracy significantly when integrated into econometric models.
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What specific economic markets does Resolved Markets track on Polymarket?
We track FOMC decision probabilities (rate hikes, cuts, holds), jobs report outcomes (payroll numbers, unemployment changes), CPI release expectations, GDP growth forecasts, Treasury yield predictions, and inflation expectations. Each market has continuous orderbook snapshots with millisecond timestamps and full bid/ask depth arrays. Our system captures 20Hz updates for crypto-economic markets and consistent sampling across all macro prediction markets, ensuring you have complete data for correlation and causality analysis.
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How can I use bid/ask spread data from Resolved Markets to quantify economic uncertainty?
Bid/ask spreads directly reflect market disagreement—when traders disagree about outcomes, spreads widen; when consensus forms, spreads narrow. By analyzing spread dynamics in FOMC decision markets, employment markets, and inflation markets over time, you can construct uncertainty indices that are forward-looking and grounded in actual trading activity. Wider spreads before policy announcements indicate higher expected volatility; spread convergence signals consensus forming. This metric outperforms traditional volatility measures for policy-sensitive predictions.
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Can I access historical economic market data for backtesting econometric models?
Yes. Resolved Markets stores 11.4M+ historical snapshots with full orderbook depth, millisecond timestamps, and complete metadata. Our ClickHouse-backed storage enables fast queries across any economic market and date range. You can reconstruct market expectations from weeks before economic releases through announcement windows, build event studies with precise timing correlation, and validate your models against actual trader behavior during past FOMC decisions and employment reports.
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How does the WebSocket API help integrate economic market data into live analytical workflows?
Our WebSocket API delivers continuous orderbook snapshots with millisecond latency, enabling real-time sentiment monitoring and live dashboard updates during economic events. Build workflows that subscribe to specific economic prediction markets (FOMC, jobs, CPI, etc.), receive depth updates as traders adjust positions, and trigger alerts when spreads spike or probabilities shift significantly. This allows economists to conduct real-time event analysis during Federal Reserve announcements and major economic releases without data delays.
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Does Hurricane Prediction Markets include historical macro events?
Yes. ClickHouse history of Hurricane Prediction Markets lets economists replay every FOMC, CPI, and jobs print to study how Polymarket priced the outcome before and after.
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What macro markets does Hurricane Prediction Markets cover?
Hurricane Prediction Markets spans city temperature ranges, hurricane probabilities, Arctic ice limits — FOMC rate decisions, CPI prints, NFP outcomes, and other macro Polymarket contracts.
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How do economists use Hurricane Prediction Markets for forecasting?
Bid/ask depth in Hurricane Prediction Markets reveals conviction strength, not just point probabilities. Economists treat Hurricane Prediction Markets as a leading indicator that frequently moves before surveys publish.
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Which cities does Hurricane Prediction Markets cover?
Hurricane Prediction Markets covers 30+ cities globally for daily temperature markets, plus Gulf Coast hurricane contracts and Arctic ice cover markets.
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How does Hurricane Prediction Markets compare to NOAA or ECMWF forecasts?
NOAA and ECMWF provide deterministic forecasts. Hurricane Prediction Markets provides market-derived probability distributions, capturing real-money consensus. Most weather desks consume both — Hurricane Prediction Markets as the market signal, NOAA as the physical baseline.