BTC$80,471.01 ETH$2,319.15 SOL$93.66 XRP$1.43 SPX18 markets Elon71 markets NBA64 markets NFL46 markets EPL18 markets FOMC12 markets Weather44 cities Hyperliquid4 perps
Live Polymarket Feed · 171 active markets

ML-Ready Social Sentiment Predictions from Polymarket

Backtest Polymarket strategies with Social Sentiment Predictions data — Data scientists use Resolved Markets Social Sentiment Predictions for ML feature engineering on Polymarket orderbooks.

Depth Chart Social Sentiment Predictions
Mid: 0.5450 BIDS ASKS
Bids Asks
171 Live Markets
793.2M Snapshots Captured
20 Hz Capture Rate
7 Categories

Social Sentiment Predictions for Data Scientists

Data scientists leverage Resolved Markets to build predictive models using 11.4M+ orderbook snapshots from Polymarket across crypto, sports, economics, and weather categories. The platform provides raw bid/ask depth arrays with millisecond timestamps—ideal for feature engineering, time-series analysis, and market microstructure modeling. With continuous 20Hz capture rates for crypto markets and comprehensive coverage of 100+ prediction markets, data scientists can train models on real market behavior patterns, sentiment evolution, and price discovery mechanisms. The unified API and historical data storage enable reproducible research, backtesting frameworks, and deployment of models via WebSocket streaming for live predictions.

Data scientists building ML models on prediction markets need Social Sentiment Predictions. Resolved Markets ships Elon Musk tweet-count and social-sentiment markets as a 14-column ClickHouse schema, with bid/ask arrays, depth values, and millisecond timestamps optimized for feature engineering on Elon weekly tweet counts and social sentiment ranges.

Live snapshot: Resolved Markets is currently tracking 171 active Polymarket contracts and has captured 793.2M orderbook snapshots. Latest update: 2026-05-09 03:14:12.061.

Data challenges Data Scientists run into

Social Sentiment Predictions from Resolved Markets is built around the data gaps Data Scientists hit when they try to work with raw Polymarket feeds.

01

Fragmented data sources requiring extensive ETL and normalization

Building prediction models requires consolidating data from sports betting APIs, crypto exchanges, economics calendars, and weather databases. Each source has different schemas, timestamps, data quality standards, and update frequencies. Data scientists waste weeks building ETL pipelines just to get consistent data for model training. Resolved Markets eliminates this integration burden by providing all four categories through a single, normalized API with consistent timestamp precision and schema.

02

Insufficient orderbook depth granularity for sophisticated microstructure models

Most market data providers deliver only OHLCV candles—open, high, low, close, volume. This completely discards orderbook microstructure where the signal lives. Sophisticated traders and algorithms exploit bid/ask spreads, depth clustering, and order book imbalances minutes before price moves. Resolved Markets provides full depth arrays showing every bid and ask level, enabling feature engineering on fundamental market structure rather than derived price metrics.

03

Limited historical data windows for training robust prediction models

Historical prediction market data is nearly impossible to acquire at scale. Most platforms don't archive snapshots, leaving data scientists with limited training windows of days or weeks. Resolved Markets maintains 11.4M+ snapshots across 100+ markets with millisecond precision. This depth enables training time-series models on diverse market regimes, economic cycles, election outcomes, and sports season progressions—impossible with limited data.

04

High operational overhead managing real-time data pipelines

Real-time data pipelines are operationally complex: maintaining WebSocket connections, handling reconnection logic, buffering, deduplication, and writing to analytical databases. Building this infrastructure takes months and requires dedicated engineering. Resolved Markets abstracts this complexity through simple API endpoints and WebSocket subscriptions, letting data scientists focus on modeling rather than infrastructure.

Built for quantitative work on Social Sentiment Predictions

Orderbook-level prediction-market data that doesn't exist anywhere else.

01

Millisecond-precision timestamps enable accurate microstructure feature engineering

Every orderbook update is timestamped to the millisecond, enabling precise sequence analysis and event-driven modeling. You can engineer features like 'time_to_next_large_buy_order', 'depth_concentration_ratio', and 'spread_evolution_velocity'—metrics that predict price moves seconds or minutes ahead. These ultra-precise timestamps turn raw orderbook data into predictive signals for microsecond-scale market efficiency models.

02

11.4M+ snapshots provide deep historical windows for robust model training

The 11.4M+ snapshot archive spans months of continuous Polymarket evolution. Your models can train on diverse market conditions: pre-election volatility (prediction markets repricing as new polls emerge), FOMC uncertainty (hourly probability shifts as economic data releases), sports event outcomes (live match developments changing contract prices), and crypto volatility (correlation with macro sentiment). This breadth prevents overfitting to narrow market regimes.

03

Full bid/ask depth enables advanced market structure analysis impossible with price data alone

Orderbook depth reveals market participant composition and conviction. When large bids appear at favorable odds, orders are building conviction. When depth clusters at certain levels, smart money is defending support/resistance. When spreads widen dramatically, information asymmetry is high. Resolved Markets' full depth arrays let you engineer these structural features directly, rather than inferring them from price changes that may have already occurred.

04

Unified API across 4 market categories enables cross-domain transfer learning

Training a single-category model (just crypto, or just sports) limits generalization. Resolved Markets' unified API across crypto, sports, economics, and weather enables transfer learning: patterns in how BTC price predictions reprices ahead of US macro data might apply to EPL match predictions. Cross-category feature spaces create richer representations, improving model robustness when deploying to new markets.

Research Applications
Spread analysis and market making simulation
Liquidity depth profiling across categories
Implied probability vs realized outcomes
Market microstructure and order flow analysis
Weather derivative research across 44 cities
Cross-category correlation studies

How Data Scientists use Social Sentiment Predictions

1
Build cross-market correlation dashboards from Social Sentiment Predictions
2
Construct feature stores from Social Sentiment Predictions for reusable ML pipelines
3
Track Elon Musk tweet-count market consensus against actual Twitter API counts in real time
4
Build a sentiment-arbitrage strategy that fades extreme Social Sentiment Predictions positioning
5
Run weekly retrospective studies measuring Social Sentiment Predictions forecast accuracy

Seven categories, hundreds of markets

Prediction markets across crypto, sports, economics, weather, and more — live and historical orderbook data, all queryable through one API.

16 markets

Crypto

BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP — up/down markets every 5m to 1d.

18 markets

Equities

S&P 500 (SPX) daily open — up or down predictions.

71 markets

Social

Elon Musk tweet counts — weekly prediction ranges.

64 markets

Sports

NBA, NFL, EPL — game outcomes and season predictions.

12 markets

Economics

Fed decisions, jobs reports — FOMC meetings and macro data.

78 markets

Weather

44 cities daily — temperature, hurricanes, Arctic ice.

4 pairs

Hyperliquid

BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP perp orderbooks — 1/sec sampling.

Tick-level orderbook snapshots

Every snapshot includes full bid/ask depth, mid prices, spreads, and crypto spot price.

polymarket.snapshots_hf 793.2M rows
SideBidSizeAskSizeSpread
UP0.54001,2400.55001,1001.00%
UP0.53009800.56001,4503.00%
UP0.52001,5600.57008905.00%
UP0.51002,1000.58002,3007.00%
UP0.50001,8000.59001,7009.00%
UP0.49003,2000.60003,10011.00%
Schema 14 columns
cryptoLowCardinality(String)BTC
timeframeLowCardinality(String)5m
token_sideEnum8('UP','DOWN')UP
timestampDateTime64(3)2026-05-09 03:14:12.061
crypto_priceFloat64$80,471.01
best_bidFloat640.5400
best_askFloat640.5500
mid_priceFloat640.5450
spreadFloat640.0100
bidsArray(Tuple(F64,F64))[(0.54,1240),...]
asksArray(Tuple(F64,F64))[(0.55,1100),...]

Comprehensive market coverage

Prediction markets across multiple categories, captured continuously with high-frequency precision.

7
Categories
Crypto Sports Economics Weather
171
Active Markets
BTC ETH SOL XRP + sports, econ, weather
44
Weather Cities
Daily prediction-market capture across global cities.
20 Hz
Capture Rate
Crypto 20 Hz Sports 2 Hz Econ 1 Hz

Social Sentiment Predictions ships with

Historical orderbook snapshot data with full depth arrays and millisecond timestamps
Structured data exports in multiple formats (JSON, Parquet, CSV via API)
Time-series features: spread evolution, depth changes, volume concentration
Multi-category market data (crypto, sports, economics, weather) for cross-domain models
WebSocket API for model inference deployment and live probability predictions
MCP integration enabling AI agents to access prediction market intelligence

What Data Scientists build with Social Sentiment Predictions

NLP-enhanced analysis correlating news text with orderbook response timing
Cross-category clustering to identify market regime changes
Social-media momentum factor construction
Influencer impact measurement through prediction-market repricing
Event-driven trading around viral social moments

Up and running in minutes

Three steps from signup to live Social Sentiment Predictions in your application.

1

Get Your API Key

Generate a free API key instantly. No credit card. Just click and go.

Sign Up Free
2

Explore the API

Browse 11 endpoints with live examples. Test requests directly from the docs.

API Reference
3

Start Building

Integrate live Social Sentiment Predictions into your research pipeline, trading bot, or analytics platform.

fetch('/v1/markets/live', { headers: { 'X-API-Key': key } })
1
Get a free API key at resolvedmarkets.com
2
Explore the schema: curl -H 'X-API-Key: rm_xxx' 'https://api.resolvedmarkets.com/api/snapshot?crypto=BTC&timeframe=1h&includebook=true'
3
Import into pandas: pd.json_normalize() on the response
4
Bulk download: rm-api download --crypto BTC --days 30 --format csv
5
Engineer features: spread, depth imbalance, mid velocity, order count

Wiring Social Sentiment Predictions into your workflow

Data scientists integrate Social Sentiment Predictions via REST for exploratory work in Jupyter, bulk CSV exports for training pipelines, and WebSocket streaming for inference. The 14-column ClickHouse schema maps directly to pandas DataFrames.

  • Native HuggingFace dataset format for ML research

Why Data Scientists pick Social Sentiment Predictions

  • 11.4M+ millisecond-timestamped snapshots provide unprecedented depth for training time-series prediction models across market regimes
  • Full bid/ask depth arrays enable microstructure-based feature engineering impossible with aggregated price data
  • Unified API across crypto, sports, economics, and weather enables transfer learning and cross-domain model development
  • WebSocket streaming API enables seamless deployment of trained models into production for live market probability predictions

Why Social Sentiment Predictions matters

Social Sentiment Predictions matters for data science because it's structured. Most prediction-market data needs hours of cleanup; Social Sentiment Predictions ships as a schema-aligned dataset with weekly resolution prediction ranges with full orderbook depth ready for ML pipelines on Elon weekly tweet counts and social sentiment ranges.

Social Sentiment Predictions in context

ML pipelines on prediction markets used to fight raw exchange data. Social Sentiment Predictions from Resolved Markets removes that friction: schema, timestamps, and bid/ask arrays are already aligned for ingestion into pandas, ClickHouse, or any modern feature store.

Frequently asked: Social Sentiment Predictions for Data Scientists

  • What features can we engineer from Resolved Markets orderbook data?

    The full bid/ask depth enables dozens of microstructure features: bid-ask spread evolution, depth concentration ratios, order book imbalance (total_bid_quantity vs total_ask_quantity), volume-weighted midpoint shifts, time-to-best-execution, depth clustering entropy, and inter-arrival times between large orders. With millisecond timestamps, you can calculate volatility measures at sub-second timescales. These features capture market sentiment and conviction far better than price-only inputs.

  • Can we use historical snapshots for backtesting prediction models?

    Yes, our full historical archive of 11.4M+ snapshots enables authentic backtesting. You can train models on snapshots from period A, validate on period B, and backtest on period C with zero look-ahead bias. Each snapshot includes the exact timestamp and full orderbook state, enabling realistic simulation of your model's performance. Export snapshots in JSON or Parquet format for efficient processing in your training pipeline.

  • How do we handle missing data or gaps in the snapshot stream?

    Our capture process is continuous at 20Hz for crypto and variable intervals for other categories. Gaps occur only during platform maintenance (announced in advance). We provide metadata with each snapshot indicating the time since the last capture, enabling you to detect and interpolate over gaps. For production models, our WebSocket API guarantees delivery of every update; client-side buffering prevents data loss due to network transients.

  • Can we build models predicting Polymarket price movements before crypto spot markets move?

    Yes, this is a primary use case. Polymarket prediction contracts for BTC and ETH price direction often reprices minutes before spot price changes, as sophisticated traders discover new information. Train models on orderbook features from prediction markets to predict subsequent spot price direction. The unified API makes it simple to correlate prediction market orderbook evolution with spot price candles from any exchange, enabling cross-market alpha research.

  • What's the best way to handle the scale of 11.4M+ snapshots in training pipelines?

    Export snapshots to Parquet format for efficient storage and query. Our API supports time-range and market-range filtering to limit export scope. Use distributed computing frameworks (Spark, Dask, Ray) to parallelize feature engineering across snapshot partitions. For live training, subscribe to WebSocket streams for specific markets rather than querying entire historical datasets. This hybrid approach—historical exports for model development, streaming for live updates—optimizes both training speed and inference latency.

  • How do data scientists prepare Social Sentiment Predictions for ML?

    Social Sentiment Predictions ships as a 14-column ClickHouse-optimized schema with bid prices, ask prices, depth at each level, market identifiers, and millisecond timestamps. It maps directly into pandas for feature engineering.

  • What ML projects use Social Sentiment Predictions?

    Price prediction, sentiment classification, liquidity forecasting, anomaly detection, cross-market correlation, and outcome probability estimation. Social Sentiment Predictions is rich enough for sequence models and statistical pipelines alike.

  • How big is the dataset behind Social Sentiment Predictions?

    11.4M+ snapshots across 100+ markets and 7 categories. Each snapshot includes full bid/ask arrays with millisecond timestamps — enough for deep learning and statistical modeling.

  • How is Social Sentiment Predictions different from raw Twitter API data?

    Raw Twitter data is noisy. Social Sentiment Predictions captures real-money predictions on outcomes, providing a sentiment signal that's grounded in capital at risk.

Related orderbook datasets

Ready to access Social Sentiment Predictions?

Get live orderbook data from Polymarket. Free API key, no credit card required.